National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 1·Hard

Adam Walton v Jenson Brooksby

AUGUST 4, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Adam Walton

34%

Jenson Brooksby

66%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Jenson Brooksbywon3-6 4-6

Model correct

Comparison

Adam WaltonJenson Brooksby

#102

ATP rank

#78

1701

ELO

1816

1627

ELO · Hard

1773

WLWLL

Last 5

LLWLL

0-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Adam Walton v Jenson Brooksby — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Raphael Collignon beat Corentin Moutet2-6 7-5 7-5Davis Cup Finals QF: FRA vs BEL · 2025-113 ELO
Adam Walton beat Gabriel Diallo76(4) 63Delray Beach Open · 2026-139 ELO
Francisco Comesana beat Jaume Munar6-4 6-4Cincinnati Masters · 2025-87 ELO
Adrian Mannarino beat Adam Walton64 62Nexo Dallas Open · 2026-61 ELO
Zachary Svajda beat Adrian Mannarino6-3 1-6 6-0Shanghai Masters · 2024-58 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.