National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 1·Hard

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges

AUGUST 3, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Aleksandar Kovacevic

29%

Nuno Borges

71%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Nuno Borgeswon7-6 2-6 4-6

Model correct

Comparison

Aleksandar KovacevicNuno Borges

#82

ATP rank

#48

1676

ELO

1865

1640

ELO · Hard

1774

WWWLL

Last 5

WWWLL

1-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Aleksandar Kovacevic v Nuno Borges — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Pedro Martinez6-2 6-4Indian Wells Masters · 2021-190 ELO
Matteo Berrettini beat Quentin Halys6-2 6-4Metz · 2025-187 ELO
Nuno Borges beat Ben Shelton7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(5) 6-7(8) 6-3Us Open · 2022-193 ELO
Valentin Vacherot beat Aleksandar Kovacevic6-2 6-3 7-5US Open · 2026-196 ELO
Ben Shelton beat Reilly Opelka7-6(3) 7-6(3)Cincinnati Masters · 2024-208 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.