HSBC Championships·Quarterfinal·Grass

Arthur Fery v Francisco Cerundolo

JUNE 19, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Arthur Fery

36%

Francisco Cerundolo

64%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Francisco Cerundolowon6-7 6-3 4-6

Model correct

Comparison

Arthur FeryFrancisco Cerundolo

#36

ATP rank

#23

1736

ELO

1947

1565

ELO · Grass

1554

WWWLL

Last 5

LWWWL

0-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Arthur Fery v Francisco Cerundolo — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Luciano Darderi beat Arthur Fery6-4 6-3 6-3Wimbledon · 2025-182 ELO
Arthur Fery beat Flavio Cobolli4-6 6-7 0-6Wimbledon · 2026-138 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.