National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 2·Hard

Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier

AUGUST 4, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Brandon Nakashima

71%

Daniel Altmaier

29%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Brandon Nakashimawon6-2 6-1

Model correct

Comparison

Brandon NakashimaDaniel Altmaier

#16

ATP rank

#69

1996

ELO

1801

1898

ELO · Hard

1687

WLWLW

Last 5

WLWLL

1-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Brandon Nakashima v Daniel Altmaier — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Valentin Vacherot beat Aleksandar Kovacevic6-2 6-3 7-5US Open · 2026+196 ELO
Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Aleksandar Kovacevic7-6(1) 6-3Los Cabos · 2024+214 ELO
Hubert Hurkacz beat Damir Dzumhur4-6 6-4 1-6 1-6US Open · 2026+164 ELO
Nikoloz Basilashvili beat Andrey Rublev6-3 6-4Doha · 2018+163 ELO
Andrey Rublev beat Nikoloz Basilashvili6-7(4) 6-4 6-2Cincinnati Masters · 2019+163 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.