National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 1·Hard

Gabriel Diallo v Kyrian Jacquet

AUGUST 3, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Gabriel Diallo

61%

Kyrian Jacquet

39%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Gabriel Diallowon6-7 6-3 6-2

Model correct

Comparison

Gabriel DialloKyrian Jacquet

#125

ATP rank

#110

1821

ELO

1717

1736

ELO · Hard

1634

WLLWL

Last 5

WWLWL

0-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Gabriel Diallo v Kyrian Jacquet — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Alexandre Muller beat Beibit Zhukayev6-4 6-4Washington · 2025+27 ELO
Mees Rottgering beat Roberto Carballes Baena76(3) 67(8) 63ABN AMRO Open · 2026+26 ELO
Cameron Norrie beat Kyrian Jacquet4-6 7-6(2) 6-4Metz · 2025+205 ELO
Mees Rottgering beat Jan Choinski5-7 6-2 4-6Winston-Salem · 2026-44 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.