National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 1·Hard

Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron

AUGUST 4, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Hubert Hurkacz

69%

Marcos Giron

31%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Hubert Hurkaczwon7-5 4-6 6-2

Model correct

Comparison

Hubert HurkaczMarcos Giron

#46

ATP rank

#84

1908

ELO

1721

1787

ELO · Hard

1669

LWLWL

Last 5

WLLLL

4-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Hubert Hurkacz v Marcos Giron — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

P. Carreno-Busta beat Mitchell Krueger6-1 6-2 6-2Us Open · 2020+191 ELO
Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Valentin Royer6-7 5-7Cincinnati · 2026+175 ELO
Stefanos Tsitsipas beat James Duckworth6-3 6-4Washington · 2018+199 ELO
Nuno Borges beat Mirza Basic3-6 6-3 6-2Sofia · 2022+173 ELO
Valentin Royer beat Learner Tien7-6(0) 4-6 6-2Hangzhou · 2025+208 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.