National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 1·Hard

Martin Damm v Stefanos Tsitsipas

AUGUST 4, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Martin Damm

36%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

64%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Stefanos Tsitsipaswon4-6 4-6

Model correct

Comparison

Martin DammStefanos Tsitsipas

#104

ATP rank

#44

1745

ELO

1939

1646

ELO · Hard

1841

LWWLL

Last 5

LWWWL

0-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Martin Damm v Stefanos Tsitsipas — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Tommy Paul beat Benjamin Bonzi6-4 6-4Miami Masters · 2022-174 ELO
Tommy Paul beat Benjamin Bonzi6-4 7-6(6)Adelaide 2 · 2022-174 ELO
Martin Damm beat Tommy Paul4-6 2-1 RETMiami Masters · 2024-165 ELO
Arthur Rinderknech beat Dusan Lajovic6-3 4-6 6-2Antwerp · 2021-156 ELO
Flavio Cobolli beat Terence Atmane75 64Delray Beach Open · 2026-150 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.