National Bank Open presented by Rogers·Round 1·Hard

Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan

AUGUST 4, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Shintaro Mochizuki

29%

Fabian Marozsan

71%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Fabian Marozsanwon4-6 3-6

Model correct

Comparison

Shintaro MochizukiFabian Marozsan

#126

ATP rank

#60

1634

ELO

1806

1520

ELO · Hard

1730

LWWLL

Last 5

LWWLL

0-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Shintaro Mochizuki v Fabian Marozsan — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Jeremy Chardy beat Alex De Minaur2-6 6-3 6-4Dubai · 2021-208 ELO
Martin Klizan beat Alexei Popyrin7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(5)Sydney · 2019-208 ELO
Emilio Gomez beat Miomir Kecmanovic2-6 7-6(4) 6-4Dallas · 2023-133 ELO
Juan Martin del Potro beat Jeremy Chardy6-2 6-4Delray Beach · 2018-212 ELO
Cameron Norrie beat Peter Gojowczyk6-1 6-4Zhuhai · 2019-214 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.