Mubadala DC Open·Final·Hard

Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar

AUGUST 3, 2026

Model win probabilityMedium confidence

Taylor Fritz

70%

Rafael Jodar

30%

SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Taylor Fritzwon7-6 6-4

Model correct

Comparison

Taylor FritzRafael Jodar

#10

ATP rank

#14

2068

ELO

1957

1964

ELO · Hard

1745

WLWWL

Last 5

LWWLL

1-0 →

Head to head

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Taylor Fritz v Rafael Jodar — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Jack Draper beat Joao Fonseca6-4 6-0Indian Wells Masters · 2025+117 ELO
Andrey Rublev beat Jack Draper6-4 6-2Washington · 2022+99 ELO
Andrey Rublev beat Jack Draper6-3 3-6 6-3 6-4Us Open · 2023+99 ELO
Andrey Rublev beat Jack Draper7-5 5-7 6-1Doha · 2025+99 ELO
Taylor Fritz beat Tommy Paul7-6(2) 6-4Miami Masters · 2022+97 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.