HSBC Championships·Round 2·Grass

Tommy Paul v Botic Van De Zandschulp

JUNE 18, 2026

Model win probability

Tommy Paul

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Botic Van De Zandschulp

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SHADED AREA = WIN PROBABILITY · SOLID LINE = MODEL SPLIT · DASHED = NET

Result

Tommy Paulwon7-6 6-3

Comparison

Tommy PaulBotic Van De Zandschulp

#19

ATP rank

#40

2043

ELO

1886

1664

ELO · Grass

1505

LWWWL

Last 5

WWWWL

Matches that looked like this

Past match-ups the model considers closest in shape to Tommy Paul v Botic Van De Zandschulp — similar playing styles, same surface, comparable rating gap. Style similarity comes from the sequence model's own view of each player, not from rankings.

Tommy Paul beat Denis Shapovalov6-4 2-6 6-4Queen's Club · 2022+140 ELO
Flavio Cobolli beat Dalibor Svrcina4-6 4-6Acapulco, Mexico · 2026+179 ELO
Luciano Darderi beat Roman Safiullin7-6(3) 1-6 6-7(2) 6-3 6-1Wimbledon · 2025+128 ELO
Roman Safiullin beat Andrey Rublev4-6 7-6 6-3 3-6Wimbledon · 2026+128 ELO
M. Berrettini beat Roman Safiullin7-6(8) 5-7 7-5Stuttgart · 2024+123 ELO

Win probabilities are statistical estimates produced by OddsKick's model and are provided for informational purposes only. Model outputs can be wrong.